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Figure1: Spatial patterns of climate change and
vegetation response during the YDC. Maps show the difference between YDC
and modern surface temperatures during January (A) and July (B), as
simulated by the GISS GCM (Rind et al., 1986: Rind, 1994).
Colder-than-modern temperatures over the North Atlantic are shown in
shades of blue, and warmer-than-modern temperatures over the mid-continent
are shown in red. Changes in mean January and July temperatures (C),
simulated by the GISS model (Rind, 1994), are used to represent the
possible differences between four locations along an east¯west
transect (B). Red symbols (C) represent simulated conditions before the
YDC and blue symbols represent simulated conditions during the YDC. Red
arrows illustrate the simulated magnitude and direction of temperature
change. The modern percentages of spruce (Picea), northeastern pine
(Pinus), and elm (Ulmus) pollen (C) are also plotted as
large grey and black symbols, which represent two levels of abundance for
each taxon. Small grey symbols represent the climatic position of all
modern pollen surface samples from eastern North America. The modern
percentages of each taxon is also shown with respect to a single climate
variable, mean July temperatures (D), with responses to simulated
conditions at locations 1 and 2 before (red) and during the YDC (blue)
also shown (D). Smaller black symbols (D) highlight a selection of modern
pollen samples within a specific range of moisture conditions, in order to
show that moisture explains much of the variance at a given temperature.
To avoid the ranges of southern and western pine species, which have
different climatic tolerances (Thompson et al., 1999), the pine data shown
are from the region north of 39° N latitude and east of 110° W
longitude.
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Figure 2: Late glacial pollen stratigraphies from nine
sites in eastern North America (from left to right: King, 1981; Williams,
1974; Shane, 1987; Shane and Anderson, 1993; Spear and Miller, 1976;
Davis, 1969; Suter, 1987; Davis et al., 1975; Mayle and Cwynar, 1995).
Light grey bars mark the European Bölling/Alleröd chronozone (B/A), from
ca 15,000 to 12,900 cal yr B.P. Dark grey bars indicate the
Younger Dryas chronozone (YDC), from ca 12,900 to 11,600 cal yr B.P.
(see Appendix A with regard to these ages). Sedge (Cyperaceae) and birch (Betula)
pollen percentages are shown in grey. Oak (Quercus) pollen
percentages are also shown in grey, but are shown only for Chatsworth Bog,
Illinois, where no significant pine (Pinus) pollen (black) was
recorded (King, 1981). Triangles indicate the position of calibrated
radiocarbon dates. Grey triangles denote dates that have been adjusted for
old carbon.
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Figure 3: Pine and spruce pollen percentages track
abrupt range shifts. Records of pine (Pinus) (A) and spruce (Picea)
(B) pollen percentages are plotted with time on a vertical axis to show
changes in their geographic distributions. Arrows indicate the east¯west
range shifts of pine (A) and the north¯south range shifts of
spruce (B). Each site is labeled by state as in Fig.2. The Stotzel-Leis
site in Ohio (Shane, 1987) is shown in grey in inset A, and superimposed
upon the stratigraphy from Pretty Lake in Indiana (Williams, 1974).
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Figure 4: The abundance of pine pollen across eastern
North America before, during, and after the YDC. Histograms represent the
percent pine (Pinus) pollen at each of nine sites (Fig.2) at
13,000, 12,000 (YDC), and 11,000 cal yr B.P. The
percentages are plotted with respect to longitude to show changes in
abundance across the range of pine. Each site is labeled by state, as in
Fig.2. Horizontal grey bars mark the range of sites where the presence of
pine populations is indicated by pollen percentages of >10%. For
comparison to modern, see Fig.1D.
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Figure 5: Maps of plant associations and vegetation
change at 1000-cal-yr intervals between 14,000 and 10,000 cal yr B.P.
Different colors illustrate different vegetation assemblages. Individual
plant taxa are mapped as red, yellow, or blue with overlapping ranges
represented by the combinations of primary colors: orange, purple, green,
or gold. Grey represents the absence of the mapped taxa, and white
represents regions with no data. Two combinations of three taxa are
mapped: (A) regions with greater than 20% spruce (Picea; red), 5%
sedge (Cyperaceae; yellow), and 20% pine (Pinus; blue) pollen, and
(B) regions with greater than 5% ash (Fraxinus; red), 15% oak (Quercus;
yellow), and 6% elm (Ulmus; blue) pollen. Maps of square-chord
distances (SCD) represent the dissimilarity between fossil and modern
pollen assemblages (C). SCD values greater than 0.15 (black) represent
pollen assemblages that have no modern equivalent. Offset maps (D) use
SCDs to show the amount of change between 1000-yr intervals. High SCDs
document large changes.
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Figure 6: Lake-level elevations and pollen percentages
in Wisconsin and Minnesota from 14,000 to 7000 cal yr B.P.
Lake-level elevations at Lake Mendota, Wisconsin (A), are inferred from
the elevations of radiocarbon-dated sediments (Winkler et al., 1986).
Aquatic macrofossil assemblages and sediment characteristics from Almora
Lake, Minnesota (Digerfeldt et al, 1992), constrain an envelope of
possible water levels there (B). The lake-level data are compared to
changes in the relative abundance of spruce (Picea), pine (Pinus),
and oak (Quercus) pollen at near-by sites: (A) Devil's Lake,
Wisconsin (Maher, 1982) and (B) Reidel Lake, Minnesota (Almquist-Jacobson
et al., 1992).
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